Situation Report – Monett – Lawrence County OEM Monday, March 6, 2017 14:30 hours
• EOC/OEM Response: We will continue to monitor the situation through the day.
o Activation Level – We anticipate raising our status to a Level 3 (active monitoring) by early afternoon.
o Spotters – Will likely be needed this evening.
o Safety Concern; Spotters Must exercise extreme caution when spotting at night, especially with fast moving storms.
• Situation/ Current Observations: Overcast in the upper 60’s, sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph. Storm development is expected early evening. Storms will form in SE Kansas and NE Oklahoma and move into our area. Storms will develop quickly and move quickly. All modes of severe weather are possible including winds of 70 mph, golf ball sized hail, and tornadoes. Monett and Lawrence County are in the Enhanced Risk for severe storms and tornadic activity.
• Current Watches / Warnings: Wind Advisory until 6:00 PM today. Red Flag Warning for 03/107/2017 11:00 A.M. to 7:00 P.M.
• Hazards: Strong (potentially damaging) straight line winds to 70 m.p.h., hail, and rain as storms form along and just ahead of the cold front there may be Supercell development, additionally as the system forms a line or line segments the best chance for Tornadic development will be along bowing segments of the line.
• Impacts Events this evening and overnight may be impacted by this event.
• Special Events;
o None that the OEM is aware of at this time
• Timing: Scatted storms may (there is uncertainty) begin as early as 1800, ahead of the front. The best time (confidence is high) for development of a rapidly moving line of severe storms between 2100 to 0400 hrs. Behind the front, a mild and very dry air mass will return and is expected to raise Fire Weather Risk.
• Updates; Will be issued as needed.
o 2017 Statewide Tornado Drill – TOMORROW - March 7, 1000hrs. – NWS weather radios/MULES will receive a TOR warning to activate the drill. NWS anticipates the drill proceeding, as any severe weather should be well east of the region.